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AQA GCSE · Question 10.1 · Planning and Designing Statistical Investigations

Sol is investigating birth rates in different countries. He thinks that European countries have the lowest birth rates.
Write a possible hypothesis for Sol to use in his investigation.

How to approach this question

A hypothesis is a testable statement about the relationship between variables. It should be clear, specific, and possible to test with data. Based on Sol's idea, formulate a statement that compares the birth rates of European countries to other countries.

Full Answer

The average birth rate in European countries is lower than the average birth rate in non-European countries.
A hypothesis is a precise, testable statement of what the researcher predicts will be the outcome of the study. Sol's initial thought is that "European countries have the lowest birth rates". To make this a formal hypothesis, it needs to be more specific and comparative. A good hypothesis would be: "The average birth rate in European countries is lower than the average birth rate in non-European countries." This is testable because you can collect data on birth rates, calculate the average for European and non-European countries, and then compare the two averages.

Common mistakes

✗ Writing a question, e.g., "Are birth rates in Europe lower?". A hypothesis must be a statement. ✗ Writing a vague statement, e.g., "Birth rates are different around the world". This is not specific enough. ✗ Stating the aim of the investigation, e.g., "To find out if Europe has low birth rates".

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