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    PracticeACCAACCA MA — Management Accounting Practice Exam 2Question 09
    Easy2 marksMultiple Choice
    Data analysis and statistical techniquesExpected ValueSyllabus B

    ACCA · Question 09 · Data analysis and statistical techniques

    A biotech firm is developing a new drug. There is a 40% probability that the drug will be highly successful, yielding a profit of $10 million. There is a 50% probability of moderate success, yielding $2 million. There is a 10% probability of failure, resulting in a loss of $5 million.

    What is the expected value of the profit from this drug development?

    Answer options:

    A.

    $5.5 million

    B.

    $4.5 million

    C.

    $5.0 million

    D.

    $7.0 million

    How to approach this question

    Multiply each outcome by its probability and sum the results. Remember that a loss is a negative number.

    Full Answer

    B.$4.5 million✓ Correct
    EV = (0.40 * $10m) + (0.50 * $2m) + (0.10 * -$5m) EV = $4m + $1m - $0.5m = $4.5 million.

    Common mistakes

    Adding the $0.5m loss instead of subtracting it.
    Question 08All questionsQuestion 10

    Practice the full ACCA MA — Management Accounting Practice Exam 2

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