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    PracticeCPA®CPA BAR Practice ExamQuestion 09
    Easy1 markMultiple Choice
    Area 1: Business AnalysisBusiness AnalysisRisk ManagementQuantitative Analysis

    CPA · Question 09 · Area 1: Business Analysis

    Scenario: A company identifies two risks.<br/>Risk A: Probability 20%, Impact $1,000,000.<br/>Risk B: Probability 5%, Impact $5,000,000.<br/><br/>Which statement accurately compares these risks using Expected Value (EV) analysis?

    Answer options:

    A.

    Risk A has a higher Expected Value ($200,000) than Risk B ($25,000).

    B.

    Risk B has a higher Expected Value ($250,000) than Risk A ($200,000).

    C.

    Both risks have the same Expected Value.

    D.

    Risk A is more critical solely because it has a higher probability.

    How to approach this question

    Calculate EV = Probability * Impact for each. Compare.

    Full Answer

    B.Risk B has a higher Expected Value ($250,000) than Risk A ($200,000).✓ Correct
    B
    Risk A: 20% of $1M = $200k. Risk B: 5% of $5M = $250k. Therefore, Risk B has the higher expected financial impact.

    Common mistakes

    Decimal error on 5% (calculating as 0.5 instead of 0.05) or simple multiplication errors.
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